1000 Guineas 2024 tips and free bets at Newmarket
30/04/2024 14:46
The 1000 Guineas sets off on Sunday with the fillies in action for the second Group 1 British Champions Series of the season after the colts had their go on Saturday.
The 1000 Guineas is ran over the same course and distance as the 2000 Guineas, but is for three-year-old fillies instead, with nearly £300,000 up for grabs for the winner.
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1000 Guineas winners by year
- 2023: Mawj
- 2022: Cachet
- 2021: Mother Earth
- 2020: Love
- 2019: Hermosa
- 2018: Billesdon Brook
- 2017: Winter
- 2016: Minding
- 2015: Legatissimo
- 2014: Miss France
We have managed to tip up the two big priced winners in the last two years.
With Mawj tipped at 16/1 and Cachet tipped at 20/1 the year before.
Mawj went off at 9/1SP beating Tahiyra by half a length and has won once since at Keeneland having gone on some decent travels to try and obtain a big payday abroad, including at Meydan, Santa Anita and Keeneland.
Prior to the last two winners, Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien had won five in the six runnings between 2016 and 2021.
There’s been a different jockey on board the winner of the 1000 Guineas in the last eight runnings with Ryan Moore winning twice in 2016 and 2020.
But Wayne Lordan (twice), Frankie Dettori, James Doyle, Sean Levey and Oisin Murphy have also steered home the winner, in different years.
Moore has got three wins since 2015 including on the David Wachman trained Legatissimo, followed by the O’Brien winners Minding and Love.
But the favourite could be quite a big price with Fallen Angel and Ylang Ylang contending the front spot only narrowly ahead of the Charlie Appleby-trained Dance Sequence, who has been in contention for this for quite some time.
But this is a race that seems to elude the primarily Godolphin trainer, despite his incredible successes in almost every other top group race in the country.
There’s only been one favourite to win the 1000 Guineas in the last ten renewals and that’s partially because there are just so many fillies who have yet to show their full potential.
They can come out for the first time that year and show how much they’ve progressed since their two-year-old campaign.
Or they can even hint towards a big run but don’t necessarily have the wins to sway the punters in their favour.
Regardless, it’s often tricky to find the winner in such a big field but we’re bidding to go three from three.
1000 Guineas odds
- Fallen Angel 11/4
- Ylang Ylang 7/2
- Dance Sequence 5/1
- Ramatuelle 9/1
- See The Fire 10/1
- Content 12/1
- Cinderellas Dream 16/1
- Porta Fortuna 16/1
- Elmalka 25/1
- Regal Jubilee 25/1
- Enrilo 25/1
- Star Style 25/1
- Darnation 40/1
- Brilliant 40/1
- Sacred Angel 40/1
- Tamfana 50/1
- Lunar Eclipse 66/1
- Rolica 66/1
- Star Music 66/1
- Finsceal Luas 150/1
View full list of 1000 Guineas odds HERE.
1000 Guineas Tips
- Dance Sequence 5/1 each-way (2pts)
- See The Fire 10/1 each-way (1pt)
Dance Sequence
Many runners are yet to take on 1m which is another factor to the bigger priced winners in this race.
Only Ylang Ylang and Content have won over 1m before in the top six in the betting, meaning there is always potential from an unexposed filly.
Fallen Angel is a great grey filly who’s yet to win over 1m but has dominated on her last two starts over 7f.
However, at that price it’s hard to follow in with losing money on an each-way bet if she places.
And Dance Sequence has a lot more potential in many regards that could give Appleby his first 1000 Guineas winner, along with William Buick’s first.
Three of the last ten winners have won the Nell Gwyn Stakes and then gone on to win the 1000 Guineas. Dance Sequence was a close second in that race a couple weeks prior, but looked as though she needed the run having wandered around considerably on the run-in.
That experience will fare her well and putting a more efficient run on the track will put her right up there at the finish.
She kept on in the final furlong but was just denied by a neck to the big 18/1 outsider Pretty Crystal.
That was a fast race time too, making her a real contender to win upped to 1m at a good pace too, especially as there’s still room for considerable improvement.
See The Fire
Ylang Ylang may take a lot of the betting but there’s something to be said about going for the third in the fillies’ mile back in October, See The Fire, who was just over a length off the winner.
She’s had trouble in both of her last two starts being hampered at Doncaster in the May Hill Stakes and then hanging left from 2f out, which always effects their real potential come the finish as they have to cover even more ground.
Ylang Ylang did well to get there at the finish also having to make up a lot of ground in the final two furlongs to eventually lead.
But See The Fire, by Sea The Stars who won the 2000 Guineas has real potential and could give subsequent victories to jockey Oisin Murphy.
Tom Lunn’s Racing Tips Profit + Loss
- NH 2023/24 P+L: +139.19pts
- P+L from July 2023: +209.86pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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