The Flyers Have a 0% Chance to Draft 1st and a 2.5% Chance to Draft Second
07/05/2024 16:50
The NHL draft lottery is on Tuesday night and here’s how Tankathon’s simulator looks:
There’s a 0% chance to move up to #1 overall and a 2.5% chance to move up to #2 overall, so you’re telling me there’s a chance, as Lloyd Christmas once said. The reason they can’t go up to #1 overall is because the NHL tweaked the rules a few years ago to make it so you can only go up a maximum of 10 spots. That’s why their ceiling is #2 overall. If they had finished 11th overall, that slim chance of moving up to #1 would be in play.
I ran the simulator ten times in a row and got the following results:
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
- 12th
So they are probably selecting 12th. The good thing is that the NHL draftniks say there’s depth beyond the top prospects. There’s a decent crop of centers hitting 10 to 15 on these lists, Jarome Iginla’s kid included. There’s a 6’3″ righty defenseman named Carter Yakemchuk being mocked in the 11 to 13 range, and a Finnish center named Konsta Helenius getting the same love.
Seems like the Flyers will be in good shape if they remain at 12.
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